The three levels of AI understanding
Tyler Cowen writes:
If you are trying to contextualize someoneās opinion on current AI, I suggest asking three basic questions about their perspective. ...
- How good are the best models today? ...
- How rapidly are the best current models are able to self-improve? ...
- How will the best current models be knit together in stacked, decentralized networks of self-improvement, broadly akin to āthe republic of scienceā for human beings?
This one is far more speculative, as it is not possible to observe much directly in the public sphere. And most of what will happen does not exist yet, not even as plans on the drawing board. Still, you want a person to have given this question some thought. I believe, for one, that this will move the AIs into the realm of being truly innovative. Stack them, have some of them generate a few billion new ideas a week, have the others grade those ideasā¦etc.
I find it is difficult to have good AI conversations with people who are not conversant with at least the first two realities on this list. The very best conversations are with people who also have spent time thinking about number three as well.